One Year Out: New NRCC Memo Forecasts Victory in 2024
November 6, 2023
One year from Election Day 2024, a new NRCC memo charts a clear path to victory for House Republicans. The key takeaways:
- On turning the candidate fundraising deficit on its head: GOP Patriots have more than $566k more cash on hand on average than Democratic Frontliners. This gap has widened every quarter in 2023, as Patriots have outraised Frontliners on average every single quarter.
- On expanding the narrow map with recruitment wins: In 2020 all 15 GOP House pickups were won by a female, a minority, or a veteran. The NRCC is continuing this playbook with rock-star recruits like Alison Esposito, Joe Teirab, Tom Barrett, and many others.
- On nasty Democratic primaries producing unelectable nominees:From California to New York to New Jersey to Oregon, Democrats are engaged in brutal races to the left threatening to impact their ability to compete against battle-tested GOP incumbents.
- On Republicans winning on issues that matter most to voters: House Republicans have a clear messaging edge on the border, crime, and cost of living. A deluge of public polling shows historic trust advantages for Republicans portending a strong political environment and opportunity to go on offense.
The upshot? “With one year until Election 2024, House Republicans are arguably in just as strong, if not stronger, position [as compared to 2022] to grow our majority.”