NRCC Releases Battleground Polling in OH-09

May 15, 2026

WASHINGTON, D.C. – For the first time this cycle, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) publicly released internal battleground polling in OH-09, offering an early snapshot of a favorable national political landscape for House Republicans and the growing problems confronting vulnerable House Democrats. 

The NRCC surveyed likely general election voters in OH-09:

  • Republican Derek Merrin leads Democrat Marcy Kaptur by 4 points, 47% to 43%, with only 7% undecided.
  • Undecided voters are showing signs that they are much more likely to vote Republican as 67% disapprove of Kaptur and they prefer to vote Republican by a better than two to one margin.
  • Kaptur begins the race with significant negatives as 42% already disapprove of the job she has been doing even before the general election campaign has begun.
Read The Polling Here
“These numbers prove exactly what we’ve been saying all along: Ohioans in the Ninth Congressional District are ready for change, and Derek Merrin is poised to flip this seat red in November.” – NRCC Spokesman Zach Bannon

Background:The polling reflects the NRCC’s aggressive early investment in expanding the House map and going on offense in districts that will determine control of Congress. Releasing district-level data at this stage of the cycle, the NRCC is signaling confidence in the battlefield and highlighting the strong position Republicans hold in key battlegrounds nationwide.